BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 3A Class Rank: 11 Conference: (12-1) Overall: (19-6) Overall Strength =   78.90

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/06/2002 Away    W    84.23  72   46   3A   57 ( 4-17) Tama South Tama         5.33     20.67                      
  2 12/07/2002 Away    L    72.33  53   55   3A   28 ( 6-16) Cedar Rapids Xavier    -6.57      4.57                      
  3 12/10/2002 Home    W *  88.20  73   59   3A   21 (20- 3) Oelwein                 9.30      4.70                      
  4 12/14/2002 Home    W    79.92  58   53   4A   34 ( 7-15) Waterloo West           1.02      3.98                      
  5 12/17/2002 Away    W *  80.88  65   42   3A   59 ( 2-19) Decorah                 1.98     21.02                      
  6 12/19/2002 Away    W *  85.68  61   46   3A   38 (14- 9) Waukon                  6.78      8.22                      
  7 12/21/2002 Home    L    72.23  78   79   3A   24 (16- 6) Vinton-Shellsburg      -6.67      5.67                      
  8 12/21/2002 Home    W    93.76  95   65   3A   49 ( 7-14) Independence           14.86     15.14                      
  9 01/03/2003 Away    L    83.43  64   69   4A   12 (17- 6) Cedar Falls             4.53     -9.53                      
 10 01/10/2003 Home    W *  70.55  69   64   3A   43 ( 7-15) Cresco Crestwood       -8.35     13.35                      
 11 01/17/2003 Away    W *  65.86  73   71   3A   52 ( 8-15) New Hampton           -13.04     15.04                      
 12 01/18/2003 Away    W    80.39  80   77   3A   22 (17- 6) Webster City            1.49      1.51                      
 13 01/21/2003 Unknown L     8.29   0   76   3A    8 (16- 8) Waterloo Columbus     -70.61     -5.39                      
 14 01/24/2003 Home    W *  89.03  65   40   3A   48 ( 8-13) Charles City           10.13     14.87                      
 15 01/31/2003 Away    L *  75.45  83   85   3A   21 (20- 3) Oelwein                -3.45      1.45                      
 16 02/04/2003 Home    W *  95.64  77   36   3A   59 ( 2-19) Decorah                16.74     24.26                      
 17 02/07/2003 Home    W *  78.43  58   47   3A   38 (14- 9) Waukon                 -0.47     11.47                      
 18 02/14/2003 Home    W *  89.61  66   37   3A   52 ( 8-15) New Hampton            10.71     18.29                      
 19 02/15/2003 Away    W    98.59  86   58   3A   37 (11-10) Hampton-Dumont         19.69      8.31                      
 20 02/21/2003 Away    W *  84.28  56   39   3A   48 ( 8-13) Charles City            5.38     11.62                      
 21 02/27/2003 Unknown W *  79.42  66   57   3A   43 ( 7-15) Cresco Crestwood        0.52      8.48                      
 22 03/03/2003 Home    W *  75.03  66   55   3A   48 ( 8-13) Charles City           -3.87     14.87                      
 23 03/06/2003 Neutral W    89.33  66   44   3A   42 ( 8-13) Clear Lake             10.43     11.57                      
 24 03/10/2003 Neutral W    78.81  34   32   3A   19 (16- 8) Humboldt               -0.09      2.09                      
 25 03/19/2003 Neutral L    73.13  47   68   3A    1 (24- 2) Pella                  -5.77    -15.23                      
      Averages              78.90  64.4 56.0

Best game:   98.59 = 28 point win over Hampton-Dumont
Worst game:   8.29 = 76 point loss to Waterloo Columbus
Team stdev:  16.84